Posted by
SteveTate on Tuesday, December 01, 2009 12:00:00 AM
Anyone who is shocked by the emails eminating from the University of East Anglia and some of the world's leading climatologists just hasn't been paying attention to the climate warming debate. There have been constant inferences and accusations of non-scientific bias by high level scientists.
Michael Mann, who in one of the infamous emails complains of having to "...respond to more crap criticisms from the idiots in the near future," is no stranger to controversy.
In 1998, then a recent graduate, Mann published a report in Nature magazine containing the infamous "hockey stick" graph that showed a period of 1000 years where the earth had slowly warmed until the time of industrialization where the graph showed a dramatic increase in warming. The graph dramatically showed, in a line resembling a hockey stick, that the earth's warming had gone into crisis mode with the large increase of carbon dioxide being released by industrialized humans. Mann was an instant hero in the global warming community. He became a lead author for the IPCC and was appointed editor of the Journal of Climate.
Some scientists were immediately skeptical of the graph because it seemed to discount two periods of known climate change, the Medieval Warming Period (900-1200) and the Little Ice Age (1300-1850.)
Two Canadian scientists, Steven McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, requested Mann's data in order to review his report. Violating sound scientific protocol, Mann initially refused the data, but because his study was federally funded he was forced to release the data. He did so in bits and pieces.
A public battle ensued between global warming advocates accusing McIntyre and McKitrick of harassing Mann and his associates, and skeptics charging a violation of scientific ethics by covering up the data and methodology Mann used.
McIntyre and McKitrick pretty much demolished Mann's study when they released their own report in Energy and Environment.It appeared that the editors of Nature had not properly reviewed Mann's paper.
To resolve the public furor of cross accusations, the House Science Committee asked the National Academy of Sciences to evaluate the criticism of Mann's work and to assess the historical climate data reconstructions. Showing their own political bent, the NAC agreed, but only under conditions where they would not investigate whether Mann had withheld adverse results or made the original data and methodology available for review and replication.
NAC did not refute any of McIntyre and McKitrick's allegations, but in a politically correct summary they ignored the first 600 years of Mann's graph and stated Mann showed the "..last few decades of the 20th century were warmer than any comparable period of the last 400 years." Please note that Earth's surface temperature during the Medieval Warming, where there was no industrialization, was higher than it is today.
Michael Mann is now the director of the Earth Systems Science Center at Penn State.
Danish scientist Henrik Svensmark in 1996 released a study concerning cloud formation. Increased cloud formation makes for a cooler Earth, whereas fewer clouds create a warmer planet. His report showed that Sun activity affects cloud formation, and that "changes in the sun's activity could explain most or all of the recent rise in Earth's temperatures."
Dr. Svensmark, who also supports the idea that CO2 in the atmosphere can capture heat from the sun, was shocked when the U.N. Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change called his views "extremely naive and irresponsible."
When asked by a reporter about this attack, Dr. Svensmark said, "I was just stunned. I remember being shocked by how many thought what I was doing was terrible. I couldn't understand it because when you are a physicist, you are trained than when you find something that cannot be explained, something that doesn't fit, that is what you are excited about." He said critics were essentially telling him he should not have done the work.
Alan Carlin, 35-year Environmental Protection Agency veteran, presented a 98-page analysis at about the same time as the EPA prepared issue an "endangerment" finding on carbon. The finding establishes that carbon is a pollutant, and thereby gives the EPA the authority to regulate it -- even if Congress doesn't act.
Carlin's paper argued that the agency should take another look, as the science behind man-made global warming is inconclusive at best. The analysis noted that global temperatures were on a downward trend. It pointed out problems with climate models. It highlighted new research that contradicts apocalyptic scenarios. "We believe our concerns and reservations are sufficiently important to warrant a serious review of the science by EPA," the report read.
The response to Mr. Carlin was an email from his boss, Al McGartland, forbidding him from "any direct communication" with anyone outside of his office with regard to his analysis. When Mr. Carlin tried again to disseminate his analysis, Mr. McGartland decreed: "The administrator and the administration have decided to move forward on endangerment, and your comments do not help the legal or policy case for this decision. . . . I can only see one impact of your comments given where we are in the process, and that would be a very negative impact on our office."
Mr. McGartland blasted yet another email: "With the endangerment finding nearly final, you need to move on to other issues and subjects. I don't want you to spend any additional EPA time on climate change. No papers, no research etc, at least until we see what EPA is going to do with Climate." Carlin was removed to another branch of EPA, where he can no longer engage in the climate debate.
This squelching of differing opinions and lack of openness in scientific debate has been going on for sometime now, but it is a great threat to our country. We are preparing to spend trillions of dollars in an effort to counter the effects of a global warming threat documented by dubious data and messy methodology.
One of President Barack Obama's first acts was a memo to agencies demanding new transparency in government, and science. In April he said, "The days of science taking a backseat to ideology are over."
Let's hope that our president and Congress re-visit the global warming debate with an open mind and a non-ideological approach to the problem.